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NBC – End of the Gold Medal Run?

The Olympic Games have traditionally been a ratings bonanza for American television networks and they still are. Correspondingly the astronomical rights fees have reflected broadcasters’ level of interest in securing them. But the times, they are a changin’.
(see chart below)

NBC, presenting a record sixth straight Olympics, will offer more than 800 hours of live coverage. That is more than the Winter Olympics of Turin and Salt Lake City combined.

Despite years of winning out over time zone differences, broadcast rivals and endless controversies, it looks like NBC will not have a podium finish in the compulsory figures competition.

The dismal economic environment with its prolonged recession combined with an extraordinary $820 million rights fee have experts projecting a loss in excess of $250 million for NBC.

U.S Olympic Broadcast Rights Fees

Winter Games

     
      2010 Vancouver (NBC) $820 million
    2006 Turin (NBC) $613 million  
  2002 Salt Lake (NBC) $545 million    
1998 Nagano  (CBS)  $375 million      

Summer Games

     
      2012 London (NBC) $1.18 BILLION
    2008 Beijing (NBC) $894 million  
  2004 Athens (NBC) $793 million    
2000 Sydney (NBC) $705 million      

 

Sure, the Olympics are worth more to NBC than the dollar amount they get in ad revenue (currently averaging $400-575K per 30-second spot for primetime Olympic programming) and with its halo effect of boosting its primetime slate and cable partner ratings, but it will be interesting to see how the dark economics affect the rights fee numbers on the upcoming bids for 2014 and 2016.

The likely new owners of NBC, the fiscally-conservative Comcast, may not be as easily drawn into a bidding war with players like CBS, Fox and ABC/ESPN for the U.S. rights.

Still, while networks are likely to be more cautious in their bidding, look for NBC to be right there with fledgling cable sports partners Versus and Universal Sports when the American broadcasters compete against each other before the IOC for the Winter Games in Sochi, Russia, and the Summer Games in Rio de Janiero, Brazil.

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